Why Many Enclosed Mall Turnarounds Fail

Recently we (TKO) received a call requesting ahow useful it is. The center itself is over 20 years old
proposal for leasing a "turnaround" for a mall of aand there's no doubt in my mind that 99% of all the
million sq.ft. that is 65% vacant. Turnarounds like thismall-oriented retailers within 50 miles knows of the
are extremely difficult, and often the buyers ofproject and has a negative view of the center's
these centers have no idea what they are doing, butfuture. Yes, there are many mall-oriented retailers I'd
because they acquired the project for $10 psf orlove to have and some of 'em might be willing to be
less, they think they're getting a bargain (which they"bought" in order to entice them in, but besides
never are). So before going into our services andrequiring lot's of TI money and kickouts I don't think
costs, I asked some questions on what its ownerthey would have an immediate impact on traffic
thought could be done, what type of money he hadbecause they are in every mall.(there are three
for TI, how long the owner anticipated waitingcompeting malls within 15 miles). Anyway, the new
before seeing results, etc. (why waste both of ourbuyer asked that I put together a proposal and list
time if we can't do the job) The good news wasof tenants I'd go after and that got me thinking of
that the new owner recently did a Steve&Barry'smy "dream team of mall tenants" and guess what,
deal, which in my opinion makes sense, since they'remost are not mall-oriented. I want tenants that build
so unique that they'll draw from a larger radius than atraffic and draw on their own, not needing their
typical JCPenneys, Sears, Wal*Mart, etc. So ourneighbors traffic to survive, at least at the beginning.
conversation started off on the right track. (Oh, theRent considerations were secondary, since the
center can't be demalled).center was bought "right," so we could make it work.
The owner also built into his proforma a substantialSo here's the type of retailers I'd want to start a
TI budget; is prepared to do "sweetheart" deals andturnaround with: (not in any order of importance)
wait 18 months before seeing any real results. A rareFive Below (if I couldn't get them, then Dollar Tree),
and knowledgeable buyer of distressed enclosedMJM Shoes or DSW would be excellent draws; While
malls compared to most I meet. Our conversationsI'd love a Barnes & Noble or Borders, realistically I can
went well, but there were two areas I disagreedprobably do a Book Warehouse or Books-A-Million
with him on. First, when we take over a center ofdeal. Stein Mart would also be an excellent draw, as
this size with problems we want to also manage it,would Guitar City. Add to the list Children's Place, Ann
not for the money (you never make real money offTaylor Loft, Radio Shack, Causal Male, Dress Barn,
managing) but because it provides us with theFashion Barn, Mandees, HomeGoods, Sleepy's,
degree of control we need to make a turnaroundVerizon and in a rear, outside location, the Post
work. The owner felt that currently the amount ofOffice (a great draw from 9-to-5), Hancock Fabrics
tenants in the center is small enough where he couldJoAnn's, David's Bridal, Cato Fashion, Deb Shops, K&G
manage it until the project begins to lease. Yes, he'sMen's Center, Hobby Lobby, Party City, Shoe
right, it's small enough for him to manage as aCarnival, Famous Brand Shoes, Petland, Wood
one-man show BUT you have to treat a turnaroundWorkers Warehouse, Sally Beauty, Dot's, Eastern
not only as a leasing situation but also have to "turn"Mountain Sports and I could go on and on. As far as
the marketing and management around at the samefood, I'd want a 10,000 sq.ft. Chinese restaurant or
time so not only are new tenants being solicited butOld Time Buffet, they'll cater to my immediate
the few existing retailers are kept somewhat happy.customers and are in the right price points. I can
And keeping existing tenants happy and getting newafford to do a deal with the Chinese restaurant, but
ones interested means that there has to be traffic incan't afford a "Friday's" deal. I'd also want a large and
the center and centers with this low of vacancywell merchandised nursery somewhere on the
usually have no traffic to speak of, which is why theoutside of the property.
center is in trouble (Which came first, the chicken orWhat I chose are both strip and mall tenants (in
the egg?).today's world, most retailers are bi-center...(the
I've written this before but I'll say it again, traditionalpolitical correct way of saying it. Ann corrected me;
advertising doesn't work for a "C" or lower center.they go either way) and few of the retailers I
You have to do "event marketing" in order to havementioned are high rent payers. I picked the retailer
an impact. Event marketing means havingbased on tenant mix and their ability to draw
traffic-generating events that bring people in for thatcustomers into the center on their own. Neither
specific show but then hopefully they shop the restJoAnn Fabrics nor Hancock are high-volume retailers,
of the center. In traditional advertising, you promotebut they are "unique," not usually found at every
the center, the consumer comes, but if the centerstreet corner and command a high degree of loyalty
has few retailers, the shopper is disappointedfrom their customers. All are destination-oriented
because of the lack of merchants and they nevertenants, which in the long run will strengthen the
return (you only have one chance to make a firstentire center. Few of these retailers are considered
impression). We've promoted gun shows, arcade"trophy" tenants, but they can all do a lot of good
auctions, book events, etc, sometimes bringing in asfor the right center.
many as 25,000 consumers over a weekend. WeNon-category killers, such as a Petland, are good
gave space for free to hold comedy clubs ontraffic builders for a center. Parents bring in their
alternate Fridays and allowed Yoga teachers use ofchildren to show the "mini-zoo" to their children and
stores during the week to help increase traffic. Allanimal lovers of all types can't resist the cute rabbits
our food and many of the other stores benefit fromin the front window. The buzz word of our industry
this increased traffic. They did enough volume totoday is Lifestyle Centers, but isn't a pet shop part
keep the existing retailer's spirits "up." That's whyof a "lifestyle," as is a fabric store or hobby shop or
marketing goes hand in hand with leasing.a "Guitar City," a well-merchandised nursery definitely
We also want to have enough control that we canadds to my center's "lifestyle" and we've dont it on
minimize the number of retailers closing every month,the "cheap." Maybe they're not all high end merchants
and in a problem center there's always a highbut they bring in a dedicated customer willing to
turnaround. I'm a great believer in temporary tenants,spend time and money.
but they have an extremely high failure rate sinceNow in all probability, we won't get the account since
most are startups with limited capital and with noI'm taking an unorthodox approach, and all owners
walk-bye traffic, they usually fail. Therefore, youwould rather hear that we're going after the Limited
have to be extremely selective on who/what youinstead of Dots. And in the perfect world I agree,
put into the center. Also, we've learned that webut we don't live in a perfect world. First, the Limited
have to keep cash flow as high as possible or atbuilds-out costs a fortune and second they are
least keep the losses low, which means working hardalready in every mall within 10 miles. So, while we are
on lowering CAM costs. Anyway, that's why wemaking it more convenient for some customers to
"need" the management.come to "our" center, the drawing power is probably
The next point I disagreed on is that the buyer putlimited to three miles, while a "Guitar City" will draw
together an elaborate and well-documented report oncustomers from a larger radius. Problem centers can't
every mall-oriented retailer operating within 20 milescompete with their successful neighbors, they have
of his project. You could tell there was a lot of timeto complement and that's why leasing and marketing
and effort researching this info, BUT I'm not surehave to take a non-traditional approach.